Search This Blog

Monday, March 30, 2015

Are Philippine Real Estate Loans Out of Whack? - Updated as of December 2014

It sure looks that way, judging from this chart:

It looks like Real Estate and Construction Loans as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolio (TLP) rocketed past its historical range of 12.6% to 16.6% of TLP sometime in 2011.  That ratio peaked at 20.55% as of September 2013 but has leveled off to 18.61% of TLP as of December 2014.

Now, are we up to the levels of the previous real estate boom (as in mid 1990s to 1997)?  We don't know.  BSP data only goes as far back as 1999 when the previous real estate bubble had already burst.

Related Blog Posts:

Has the Philippine Real Estate Bubble Already Burst?

Is There a Real Estate Bubble in the Philippines?

Are Philippine Real Estate Loans Out of Whack?

No comments:

Post a Comment