Background
Last Friday, September 9, 2011, the
Monetary Board ordered the Araneta -controlled LBC Development Bank
(LBC Bank) to be closed and placed under receivership of the
Philippine Deposit Insurance Corporation. According to the BSP, LBC
Bank was insolvent, it had unsustainable operations that were
detrimental to depositors and creditors, and it violated a cease and
desist order on unsafe and unsound practices. Around 320,000
depositors were affected, some of whom were the relatives of OFWs who
were in the process of receiving much-needed remittances from their
loved ones abroad. This happened in less than six months after Banco
Filipino's spectacular failure in March 2011.
The Philippine Deposit Insurance
Corporation (PDIC) advised consumers to wisely choose the banks where
they will deposit their money. The trouble is, most depositors don't
and can't read financial statements before they open a bank account.
The regulators, whose job is to safeguard the public's money, have a
problem bank list that they do not divulge to the public, for fear of
sparking another bank run. So who can the public turn to, to advise
them where to put their money? No one, except the banks themselves
who will always promote their self-interests. This analysis is an
attempt to fill in that knowledge gap, by screening out the weaker
banks that seem ready to implode at any given moment.
LBC Development Bank
LBC Bank bears many similarities to
Banco Filipino. Initial media reports indicated that LBC Bank
offered relatively high interest rates to depositors.
LBC's audited financial statements are
unavailable. They are not on the BSP website and LBC Bank's own
website http://www.lbcbank.com.ph
has been taken down
A quick perusal of its December 2010
published statement of condition on the BSP website indicates that,
like Banco Filipino, it had a very high proportion of illiquid assets
(http://www.bsp.gov.ph/banking/psoc_tb/LBC%20DB.htm).
Over 50 percent of its asset base consisted of assets that are not
relevant to banking operations, namely, acquired real estate (PHP
167.39 million), and a whopping PHP 3.2 billion in other assets. The
“other assets” bucket can be comprised of many things such as
goodwill, deferred tax assets, or even unbooked losses. In other
words, around PHP 3.3 billion of LBC's PHP 6.4 billion in assets was
in non-earning assets.
You could argue that acquired real
estate can be sold and, if acquired some time ago, can be sold at a
profit. But selling real estate is not the bank's business, making
money on loans is. The high proportion on non-earning assets on LBC
Bank's books show that LBC Bank's ability to make money through loans
was severely hampered. Another problem associated with holding such
assets is liquidity. If the bank has liquidity problems, it will be
often forced to sell assets and quickly. A quick sale of real estate
often means a big discount, and if the real estate is sold below book
value, the bank will incur a loss and the loss will eat into the
bank's capital. Other assets such as goodwill, which often reflects
the premium a company pays to buy the equity of another company, can
be impaired if the acquired company's economic prospects are
diminished. Deferred tax assets, which appear on a company's books
due to losses in previous years, may have to be written down if it
becomes clear that the company will not make enough future taxable
profit to utilize the tax loss. Other assets, just as in Banco
Filipino's case, can also consist of unbooked losses. If this is the
case, then the value of those assets is plainly zero.
Moreover, LBC Bank's non-earning assets
of PHP 3.3 billion is roughly six times the bank's equity of PHP 550
million. A 10 percent drop in the value of those non-earning assets
will reduce the value of the bank's equity by 60%. A 20 percent drop
in the value of its non-earning assets will more than wipe out the
value of the bank's equity.
In 2009, LBC Bank was already in
roughly the same financial condition. In 2009, LBC Bank already had
a high proportion of its asset base in non-earning assets - PHP 2.5
billion in non-earning assets out of a total asset base of PHP 5.5
billion and these non-earning assets were already almost five times
its equity base of PHP 539 million.
Given this scenario, LBC Bank had
already been a zombie bank, neither living nor dead. Its large
non-earning assets severely limited its ability to make loans and
money. But through the use of relatively high interest rates, it was
able to attract enough deposits (deposit growth of PHP 961 million in
2010) to keep alive for another year.
Other Potential Problem Banks
The question is are there other banks
like LBC Bank and Banco Filipino out there? Are there other banks
that exhibit the same characteristics of a high proportion of
non-earning assets as a percentage of assets and equity? A quick
flip through the published statements of condition on the BSP website
answers the question: a most definite yes.
List of Local Philippine Banks
with a High % of
Non-Earning Assets to Total Assets
As of December 2010
|
||||
Bank
|
Total Assets
(In PHP Millions)
|
Non-Earning Assets
(In PHP Millions)*
|
Total Stockholders' Equity
(In PHP Millions)
|
Non-Earning Assets/ Total Assets
(In %)**
|
Bank of Calape |
12
|
9
|
6
|
75%
|
LBC Development Bank |
6,391
|
3,323
|
548
|
52%
|
Export and Industry Bank*** |
31,003
|
15,225
|
1,410
|
49%
|
Inter-Asia Development Bank |
88
|
32
|
3
|
36%
|
The Palawan Bank |
287
|
93
|
10
|
32%
|
Pridestar Development Bank |
123
|
34
|
66
|
27%
|
GSIS Family Bank |
3,575
|
833
|
690
|
23%
|
Sampaguita SLA, Inc. |
118
|
27
|
60
|
23%
|
Philippine Bank of Communications**** | 43,802 |
10,080 |
4,777 |
23% |
Opportunity Microfinance Bank |
484
|
98
|
119
|
20%
|
* Non-Earning Assets include Real and Other Properties Acquired (ROPA), Non-Current Assets Held for Sale, and Other Assets
**Arbitrary % Cut Off was set at 20% of Total Assets
**Arbitrary % Cut Off was set at 20% of Total Assets
*** The board of Export and Industry Bank approved the sale of all its bank assets to Banco De Oro Unibank, Inc. last July 30, 2010
**** The group of Roberto Ongpin acquired a 97.28% stake in Philippine Bank of Communcations last July 27, 2011
.
List of Local Philippine Banks
with a High % of
Non-Earning Assets to Total Stockholders Equity
As of December 2010
|
||||
Bank
|
Total Assets
(In PHP Millions)
|
Non-Earning Assets
(In PHP Millions)*
|
Total Stockholders' Equity
(In PHP Millions)
|
Non-Earning Assets/ Total Stockholders' Equity
(In %)**
|
Legaspi Savings Bank |
1,912
|
335
|
26
|
1291%
|
Export and Industry Bank*** |
31,003
|
15,225
|
1,410
|
1080%
|
Inter-Asia Development Bank |
88
|
32
|
3
|
1066%
|
The Palawan Bank |
287
|
93
|
10
|
914%
|
LBC Development Bank |
6,391
|
3,323
|
548
|
606%
|
Philippine Bank of Communications**** | 43,802 |
10,080 |
4,777 |
211% |
United Coconut Planters Bank |
179,470
|
28,684
|
14,244
|
201%
|
Planters Development Bank |
50,755
|
6,702
|
3,706
|
181%
|
Bank of Calape |
12
|
9
|
6
|
160%
|
Hiyas Savings and Loan Bank |
1,237
|
204
|
141
|
144%
|
Equicom SB |
3,998
|
486
|
399
|
122%
|
GSIS Family Bank |
3,575
|
833
|
690
|
121%
|
Philippine National Bank |
299,787
|
32,290
|
30,773
|
105%
|
* Non-Earning Assets include Real and Other Properties Acquired (ROPA), Non-Current Assets Held for Sale, and Other Assets
**Arbitrary % Cut off was set at 100% of Total Stockholders' Equity
**Arbitrary % Cut off was set at 100% of Total Stockholders' Equity
*** The board of Export and Industry Bank approved the sale of all its bank assets to Banco De Oro Unibank, Inc. last July 30, 2010
**** The group of Roberto Ongpin acquired a 97.28% stake in Philippine Bank of Communcations last July 27, 2011
List of Local Philippine Banks
with both High Non-Earning Assets as a % of
Total Assets and Total Stockholders Equity
As of December 2010
|
|||
Bank
|
Total Assets
(In PHP Millions)
|
Non-Earning Assets
(In PHP Millions)*
|
Total Stockholders' Equity
(In PHP Millions)
|
Philippine Bank of Communications** |
43,802
|
10,080
|
4,777
|
Export and Industry Bank*** |
31,003
|
15,225
|
1,410
|
Bank of Calape |
12
|
9
|
6
|
LBC Development Bank |
6,391
|
3,323
|
548
|
GSIS Family Bank |
3,575
|
833
|
690
|
The Palawan Bank |
287
|
93
|
10
|
Inter-Asia Development Bank |
88
|
32
|
3
|
* Non-Earning Assets include Real and Other Properties Acquired (ROPA), Non-Current Assets Held for Sale, and Other Assets
** The group of Roberto Ongpin acquired a 97.28% stake in Philippine Bank of Communcations last July 27, 2011
*** The board of Export and Industry Bank approved the sale of all its bank assets to Banco De Oro Unibank, Inc. last July 30, 2010
Disclaimer:
This list only serves as a screening guide. It is not a definitive guide and must be taken in the context of other factors. The figures are based on the individual banks' statement of condition as of December 31, 2010 as published in the BSP website (www.bsp.gov.ph). For this analysis, no attempt was made to go through the audited financial statements of each bank. Readers are suggested to make their own investigations and verify the figures presented. Both BSP and PDIC have their own problem bank screening systems that are much more sophisticated in scope and design, given that they have more access to information over the banks they regulate.
This list only serves as a screening guide. It is not a definitive guide and must be taken in the context of other factors. The figures are based on the individual banks' statement of condition as of December 31, 2010 as published in the BSP website (www.bsp.gov.ph). For this analysis, no attempt was made to go through the audited financial statements of each bank. Readers are suggested to make their own investigations and verify the figures presented. Both BSP and PDIC have their own problem bank screening systems that are much more sophisticated in scope and design, given that they have more access to information over the banks they regulate.
Hello, nice to visit your blog. Good thing there is someone I can talk to regarding bank condition analysis. Just want to know your opinion about the Rural Bank of Makati? Can you provide your interpretation about its statistics? I am very eager to know how this bank stands today as to safety. Thank you very much.
ReplyDeleteBased on the data available at the Rural Bank of Makati's website:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.bankofmakati.com.ph/images/stories/pdfs/financials.pdf
The Rural Bank of Makati's non-earning assets are around 32% of Stockholders Equity and around 8% of Total Assets. Using the analysis I used above, it is significant but not exactly troubling. It wouldn't be on any of the lists I posted above.
But I caution you to do your own investigation. This analysis is based on a cursory examination of their financial statements and has to be taken into consideration with other factors.
Thank you David. The site already updated their financial data.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.bankofmakati.com.ph/images/stories/pdfs/financials2011.pdf
Would you mind interpret this once again? Sorry for I cannot analyze these kinds of data, I am not into the banking and finance field.
There was some slight deterioration.
ReplyDeleteThe Rural Bank of Makati's non-earning assets as of 6/30/2011 are around 33% (from 32% as of 12/31/2011) of Stockholders Equity and around 8.5% of Total Assets (from 8% as of 12/31/2011).
This analysis is a screening tool. I caution you to do your own investigation. This analysis is based on a cursory examination of their financial statements and has to be taken into consideration with other factors.
I have two updates. One on Thrift Banks as of March 31, 2011:
ReplyDeletehttp://bancofilipinofailure.blogspot.com/2011/10/are-there-other-banks-ready-to-implode.html
And one on Large Commercial Banks as of June 30, 2011
http://bancofilipinofailure.blogspot.com/2011/10/lbc-development-bank-bites-dust-are.html
Hi I'm Daryll, Mr. Grime^^ Can you teach me the exact account to add to get 3.323 Billion?? thank you^^ and what are the capital cushions thank you^^
ReplyDeleteSimple. Go to the December 2010 Published Statement of Condition of LBC Development Bank at www.bsp.gov.ph. Add the Real and Other Properties Acquired - Net PHP 167.4 Million plus Other Assets - Net (this is where LBC Bank booked the advances made to its affiliate LBC Express) PHP 3,155.5 million. This gives you total Non-Earning Assets. Capital Cushion normally consists of Stockholders Equity less Goodwill, less Preferred Stock and Hybrid Capital plus Allowance for Credit and Impairment Losses. I hope this helps.
ReplyDeleteIt really help Mr. Grime thank you^^ We are actually doing a business research about who's going to be the next to be bankrupt exactly what you are blogging. so I'm thinking can we Interview you sometime?? as an addition for our list of professionals?? we are from Far Eastern University....^^
ReplyDeleteI'm Daryll mago
ReplyDeletee:mail: daryll_mago13@yahoo.com
cel# 09273647988
We are actually third year financial management student hope you can help us^^
thank you po for this info..^^ big help for our research..:) God bless you..^^
ReplyDeleteNo problem!
ReplyDelete