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Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Are Philippine Banks Under Provisioning Loan Losses? - As of December 31, 2013

Are Philippine banks under provisioning loan losses?


On the face of it, no.

At 2.16% as of April 2014, NPLs as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolios are at or near historic lows.






While the NPL coverage ratio is at historic highs at 139.58% as of April 2014, indicating that most banks are adequately provisioned.








But NPLs can go much higher than current levels.  Over the past thirty years, NPLs as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolios averaged 8.80% for Philippine Universal and Commercial Banks. Moreover, Loan Loss Reserves (LLR) as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolio (TLP) have averaged 4.84% for the past thirty years.  As can be seen from the chart below, loan loss reserves hit a peak of 22.23% of TLP in 1986, an outlier.  Without this outlier, LLR/TLP average 4.43% for the past thirty years.









As of April 2014, LLR/TLP stands at 3.01%, which is below the historical average of 4.43%, indicating that Philippine banks are underprovisioning for loan losses, given historical norms. If Philippine banks were to maintain higher loan loss provisions to conform to historical averages, bank earnings will suffer but will be better provisioned for future losses.

Now, which banks have not adequately provisioned for loan losses at their current NPL levels, which are at historic lows? Those highlighted in yellow (below 80% NPL Coverage Ratio) are prime candidates.


Philippine Banking System
NPL Coverage Ratio
December 31, 2013








Bank Loan Loss Provisions Gross NPLs NPL Coverage Ratio
OPPORTUNITY KAUSWAGAN BANK INC (A MICROFINANCE THRIFT BANK) 16,841,261.68 129,775,492.78 12.98%
METRO CEBU PUBLIC SAVINGS BANK 2,960,442.96 19,055,765.67 15.54%
MARITIME SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 2,755,197.36 16,368,803.56 16.83%
THE REAL BANK (A THRIFT BANK) INC 591,788,212.44 3,222,282,611.51 18.37%
DUNGGANON BANK (A MICROFINANCE THRIFT 9,917,922.56 47,508,153.45 20.88%
PROGRESS SAVINGS AND LOAN BANK INC 302,593.35 1,269,493.88 23.84%
LIFE SAVINGS BANK INC 2,499,806.08 9,639,927.96 25.93%
ENTERPRISE BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 45,072,038.57 169,661,344.38 26.57%
ALLIED SAVINGS BANK 112,822,049.52 401,441,372.70 28.10%
NORTHPOINT DEV'T BANK INC 10,662,692.95 37,110,605.65 28.73%
EQUICOM SAVINGS BANK INC 73,536,507.76 253,955,691.53 28.96%
PRODUCERS SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 61,550,165.21 200,833,871.97 30.65%
CENTURY SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 12,646,730.90 40,116,374.32 31.53%
COMSAVINGS BANK 60,506,624.39 189,798,517.04 31.88%
WEALTH DEVELOPMENT BANK CORPORATION 64,853,212.07 184,239,801.85 35.20%
PHILIPPINE RESOURCES SAVINGS BANKING 202,392,303.77 568,270,831.20 35.62%
QUEZON COCONUT BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 1,315,623.91 3,566,888.20 36.88%
PLANTERS DEVELOPMENT BANK 1,247,082,924.76 3,267,592,729.96 38.17%
MALASIQUI PROGRESSIVE SLB, INC 6,470,762.05 16,092,906.25 40.21%
DUMAGUETE CITY DEVELOPMENT BANK INC 17,300,528.04 41,156,519.67 42.04%
BUSINESS AND CONSUMERS BANK (A DB) 7,172,172.37 16,884,925.63 42.48%
HIYAS BANKING CORPORATION 12,588,045.27 29,217,436.77 43.08%
PAMPANGA DEVELOPMENT BANK 18,644,033.89 40,745,518.38 45.76%
LUZON DEVELOPMENT BANK 72,750,844.92 153,927,139.62 47.26%
FARMERS SAVINGS & LOAN BANK INC 24,484,516.84 48,471,260.01 50.51%
PENBANK INC (A PDB) (FORMERLY: PENINSULA RB INC) 48,608,159.37 94,745,384.44 51.30%
LEMERY SAVINGS & LOAN BANK, INC. 5,008,824.64 9,750,997.76 51.37%
BATAAN DEVELOPMENT BANK 15,592,398.15 28,911,402.09 53.93%
BANK ONE SAVINGS AND TRUST CORP. 8,261,602.53 15,304,127.53 53.98%
MALAYAN BANK SAVINGS AND MORT BANK INC 174,001,180.52 315,155,109.94 55.21%
STERLING BANK OF ASIA INC (A SAVINGS BANK) 435,380,455.41 779,111,419.36 55.88%
CHINA BANK SAVINGS INC 157,725,625.07 268,611,569.73 58.72%
TONG YANG SAVINGS BANK INC 94,606,108.54 148,666,358.33 63.64%
RCBC SAVINGS BANK INC 1,188,628,847.92 1,828,298,222.91 65.01%
CITYSTATE SAVINGS BANK INC 27,682,977.13 42,355,159.83 65.36%
VILLAGE BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 17,342,200.42 25,784,609.74 67.26%
EAST WEST BANKING CORP 3,213,452,982.56 4,648,406,663.92 69.13%
1ST VALLEY BANK INC A DEVELOPMENT BANK 139,386,958.18 191,253,994.34 72.88%
WORLD PARTNERS BANK (A THRIFT BANK) 64,885,845.59 88,682,976.78 73.17%
BATAAN SAVINGS AND LOAN BANK 2,137,583.98 2,842,178.92 75.21%
MICROFINANCE MAXIMUM SB INC 284,268.86 374,895.56 75.83%
TOWER DEVELOPMENT BANK 8,420,489.57 11,026,032.92 76.37%
THE PALAWAN BANK (PALAWAN DB) INC 11,073,497.04 14,232,122.87 77.81%
CITY SAVINGS BANK INC 309,246,716.78 391,518,685.68 78.99%
MAYBANK PHILIPPINES INC 842,481,789.38 1,036,927,723.27 81.25%
BPI GLOBE BANKO INC A SAVINGS BANK 165,112,327.81 201,814,159.62 81.81%
UNIVERSITY SAVINGS BANK INC 40,166,844.80 48,120,002.84 83.47%
SECURITY BANK SAVINGS CORPORATION 704,101,471.09 838,735,420.10 83.95%
PHILIPPINE POSTAL SAVINGS BANK INC 337,902,530.38 392,952,272.30 85.99%
PHILIPPINE NATIONAL BANK 9,706,366,246.18 10,686,422,376.48 90.83%
PHILIPPINE BUSINESS BANK INC A SAVINGS 688,901,501.15 745,484,055.76 92.41%
PRIDE STAR DEVELOPMENT BANK INC 6,090,315.48 6,473,437.72 94.08%
SAMPAGUITA SAVINGS BANK INC 21,561,538.64 22,719,477.39 94.90%
BPI FAMILY SAVINGS BANK INC 4,150,003,240.95 4,370,697,474.80 94.95%
BANK OF COMMERCE 3,732,183,897.55 3,903,798,967.05 95.60%
FIRST CONSOLIDATED BANK INC (A PDB) 434,987,219.55 443,718,187.84 98.03%
CITIBANK SAVINGS INC 2,287,438,110.91 2,308,133,797.81 99.10%
UNITED OVERSEAS BANK PHILIPPINES 666,212,932.81 664,931,491.65 100.19%
ROBINSONS BANK CORPORATION 423,135,641.62 421,843,064.16 100.31%
DEVELOPMENT BANK OF THE PHILIPPINES 5,732,499,835.71 5,639,214,503.34 101.65%
SUN SAVINGS BANK INC 7,624,041.50 7,460,733.37 102.19%
PHIL BANK OF COMMUNICATIONS 1,298,386,827.43 1,240,984,212.26 104.63%
ASIA UNITED BANK CORPORATION 1,144,088,009.70 1,073,013,698.39 106.62%
INTER-ASIA DEVELOPMENT BANK 4,867,124.76 4,504,816.66 108.04%
PHILIPPINE VETERANS BANK 1,040,706,212.22 960,196,997.18 108.38%
CTBC BANK (PHILIPPINES) CORPORATION 430,854,254.74 388,279,116.49 110.97%
UNITED COCONUT PLANTERS BANK 5,364,105,869.45 4,791,102,973.68 111.96%
RIZAL COMMERCIAL BANKING CORP 3,953,625,097.54 3,527,950,432.52 112.07%
UNION BANK OF THE PHILIPPINES 10,325,961,619.49 8,949,967,078.89 115.37%
PHILIPPINE SAVINGS BANK 4,284,860,503.44 3,655,420,772.73 117.22%
CORDILLERA SAVINGS BANK INC 17,598,795.59 14,750,218.80 119.31%
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK 1,353,946,955.42 1,086,525,758.42 124.61%
UCPB SAVINGS BANK 374,692,441.33 284,342,672.31 131.77%
MERCHANTS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATION INC 5,580,681.06 4,003,853.45 139.38%
QUEEN CITY DEVELOPMENT BANK INC OR QUEENBANK A THRIFT BANK 20,336,371.31 14,540,829.34 139.86%
PACIFIC ACE SAVINGS BANK INC 2,958,345.96 2,030,876.69 145.67%
HONGKONG & SHANGHAI BANKING CORPORATION 1,223,836,685.13 829,841,922.61 147.48%
BPI DIRECT SAVINGS BANK INC 186,860,512.64 121,202,841.76 154.17%
HSBC SAVINGS BANK (PHILS) INC 82,454,886.81 52,860,163.68 155.99%
CARD SME BANK INC A THRIFT BANK 30,825,368.13 19,612,047.57 157.18%
LAND BANK OF THE PHILIPPINES 11,660,698,316.19 7,317,990,983.02 159.34%
BDO UNIBANK INC 28,022,669,195.37 17,239,114,625.78 162.55%
CHINA BANKING CORPORATION 6,790,729,651.70 4,117,935,690.11 164.91%
BANK OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS 11,214,018,218.15 6,787,741,471.65 165.21%
PHILIPPINE TRUST COMPANY 1,965,620,159.61 1,148,806,061.17 171.10%
OPTIMUM DEVELOPMENT BANK INC 44,661,296.13 17,197,495.99 259.70%
AL-AMANAH ISLAMIC INVESTMENT BANK OF THE PHILS 3,334,739.21 1,156,048.97 288.46%
SECURITY BANK CORPORATION 2,273,945,259.84 679,832,902.36 334.49%
KOREA EXCHANGE BANK 85,124,833.55 24,799,833.58 343.25%
METROPOLITAN BANK & TRUST CO 11,545,125,383.14 3,124,797,642.79 369.47%
CITIBANK, N.A. 5,304,673,303.96 844,338,675.22 628.26%
BANK OF CHINA LIMITED-MANILA BRANCH 69,823,282.30 8,660,895.91 806.19%
ANZ BANKING GROUP LTD 260,589,391.19 23,339,114.85 1116.54%
JP MORGAN CHASE BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION 20,443,950.00 734,885.22 2781.92%
BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC CO LTD 143,125,187.50 4,954,155.55 2888.99%
INTERNATIONALE NEDERLANDEN GROEP BK 167,503,858.26 89.08 188037559.79%
BANK OF AMERICA N.A. 10,250,004.00 4.00 256250100.00%
BDO ELITE SAVINGS BANK INC 0.00 0.00 NA
BDO PRIVATE BANK, INC. 57,350,538.02 0.00 NA
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 249,602,970.71 0.00 NA
ISLA BANK (A THRIFT BANK) INC 4,004,580.33 0.00 NA
MBANK PHILIPPINES 10,322,814.95 0.00 NA
MEGA INTERNATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANK CO LTD 209,629,759.54 0.00 NA
MIZUHO BANK LTD - MANILA BRANCH 354,943,963.71 0.00 NA
THE BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI UFJ LTD 356,910,030.46 0.00 NA
Grand Total 150,519,060,671.36 118,115,994,900.77 127.43%

Source: www.bsp.gov.ph

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