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Monday, October 10, 2016

Are Philippine Banks Under Provisioning Loan Losses? - As of March 31, 2016

Are Philippine banks under provisioning loan losses?

On the face of it, no.

At 1.72% as of March 31, 2016, NPLs as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolios are at historic lows.



While the NPL coverage ratio is near historic highs at 133.03% as of March 31, 2016, indicating that most banks are adequately provisioned, the ratio is starting to trend downwards and has been doing so for the past three years.



However, NPLs can go much higher than current levels.  Over the past thirty years, NPLs as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolios averaged 8.78% for Philippine Universal and Commercial Banks. Moreover, Loan Loss Reserves (LLR) as a percentage of Total Loan Portfolio (TLP) have averaged 4.75% for the past thirty years.  As can be seen from the chart below, loan loss reserves hit a peak of 22.23% of TLP in 1986, an outlier.  Without this outlier, LLR/TLP average 4.27% for the past thirty years.



As of March 31, 2016, LLR/TLP stands at 2.28%, which is below the historical average of 4.27%, indicating that Philippine banks are under-provisioning for loan losses, given historical norms. If Philippine banks were to maintain higher loan loss provisions to conform to historical averages, bank earnings will suffer but will be better provisioned for future losses.




Now, which banks have not adequately provisioned for loan losses at their current NPL levels, which are at historic lows? Those highlighted in yellow (below 80% NPL Coverage Ratio) are prime candidates.

Philippine Banking System
NPL Coverage Ratio
December 31, 2015








Bank Loan Loss Provisions Gross NPLs NPL Coverage Ratio
COMSAVINGS BANK 19,724,008.81 124,154,088.77 15.89%
METRO CEBU PUBLIC SAVINGS BANK 6,531,235.84 33,328,159.81 19.60%
PROGRESS SAVINGS AND LOAN BANK INC 242,689.05 1,102,802.67 22.01%
LUZON DEVELOPMENT BANK 105,724,528.33 465,963,002.07 22.69%
PHIL STAR DEVELOPMENT BANK INC 6,454,022.91 22,292,920.67 28.95%
UNITED OVERSEAS BANK PHILIPPINES 6,905,369.98 22,519,095.59 30.66%
1ST VALLEY BANK INC A DEVELOPMENT BANK 139,698,714.30 447,288,313.85 31.23%
TOWER DEVELOPMENT BANK 7,244,319.21 22,519,095.59 32.17%
MARITIME SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 6,948,645.24 21,429,848.76 32.43%
LIFE SAVINGS BANK INC 3,475,321.67 10,440,713.55 33.29%
ENTERPRISE BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 55,353,813.66 162,793,960.21 34.00%
CITYSTATE SAVINGS BANK INC 31,443,417.86 87,712,793.79 35.85%
CENTURY SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 13,586,035.87 37,352,904.08 36.37%
EQUICOM SAVINGS BANK INC 214,542,480.36 581,436,111.35 36.90%
PLANTERS DEVELOPMENT BANK 1,285,189,662.65 3,008,786,024.04 42.71%
BUSINESS AND CONSUMERS BANK (A DB) 5,507,683.45 12,399,731.76 44.42%
CHINA BANK SAVINGS INC 598,504,758.61 1,344,409,655.05 44.52%
BATAAN DEVELOPMENT BANK 22,746,786.84 50,469,862.82 45.07%
PRODUCERS SAVINGS BANK CORPORATION 133,647,531.72 285,328,808.37 46.84%
BANK ONE SAVINGS AND TRUST CORP. 15,533,602.53 33,086,905.40 46.95%
DUMAGUETE CITY DEV BANK INC 19,017,133.41 39,719,065.35 47.88%
PAMPANGA DEVELOPMENT BANK 23,348,613.34 47,138,769.45 49.53%
SUN SAVINGS BANK INC 11,552,765.30 22,519,095.59 51.30%
INTER-ASIA DEVELOPMENT BANK 3,871,804.73 7,023,615.99 55.13%
BANK OF MAKATI (A SAVINGS BANK) INC 1,326,852,324.76 2,400,400,159.25 55.28%
EAST WEST BANKING CORP 3,963,823,039.61 7,131,526,803.80 55.58%
MAYBANK PHILIPPINES INC 1,210,527,612.98 2,151,171,796.44 56.27%
PENBANK INC (A PDB) (FORMERLY: PENINSULA RB INC) 83,507,577.71 146,949,069.01 56.83%
NORTHPOINT DEV'T BANK INC 60,156,533.40 102,772,457.86 58.53%
FARMERS SAVINGS & LOAN BANK INC 31,111,610.91 49,918,290.15 62.33%
MALAYAN BANK SAVINGS AND MORT BANK INC 215,408,627.11 342,282,888.27 62.93%
PHIL POSTAL SAVINGS BANK INC 300,435,936.63 462,011,415.77 65.03%
RCBC SAVINGS BANK INC 1,757,012,545.11 2,534,077,126.32 69.34%
AL-AMANAH ISLAMIC INVESTMENT BANK OF THE PHILS 3,087,453.11 4,396,068.42 70.23%
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK 1,757,174,558.25 2,494,964,777.72 70.43%
LEMERY SAVINGS & LOAN BANK, INC. 2,481,978.31 3,493,496.26 71.05%
MALASIQUI PROGRESSIVE SLB, INC 7,184,596.38 10,068,479.25 71.36%
PNB SAVINGS BANK 395,631,846.53 527,679,432.71 74.98%
THE PALAWAN BANK (PALAWAN DB) INC 17,233,742.06 22,519,095.59 76.53%
VILLAGE BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 17,342,200.42 22,519,095.59 77.01%
SAMPAGUITA SAVINGS BANK INC 17,591,087.34 22,519,095.59 78.12%
PHILIPPINE VETERANS BANK 1,258,964,443.10 1,585,158,457.78 79.42%
UNITED COCONUT PLANTERS BANK 4,457,676,512.04 5,384,830,679.52 82.78%
MBANK PHILIPPINES (A THRIFT BANK) INC 40,752,474.66 48,998,587.50 83.17%
PHILIPPINE BUSINESS BANK INC A SAVINGS BANK 948,999,640.25 1,133,272,108.60 83.74%
DUNGGANON BANK (A MICROFINANCE THRIFT BANK) INC 22,432,583.33 26,629,508.90 84.24%
CITY SAVINGS BANK INC 1,056,689,456.25 1,235,081,286.28 85.56%
OPPORTUNITY KAUSWAGAN BANK INC (A MICROFINANCE THRIFT BANK) 41,572,669.75 48,429,367.11 85.84%
LEGAZPI SAVINGS BANK INC 381,155,472.26 442,184,092.66 86.20%
QUEEN CITY DEVELOPMENT BANK INC OR QUEENBANK A THRIFT BANK 19,171,204.16 21,961,557.01 87.29%
FIRST CONSOLIDATED BANK INC (A PDB) 674,907,506.79 757,048,403.69 89.15%
DEVELOPMENT BANK OF THE PHIL 5,915,200,068.36 6,610,033,570.26 89.49%
PHIL BANK OF COMMUNICATIONS 1,903,538,312.55 2,069,016,935.20 92.00%
QUEZON COCONUT BANK INC (A THRIFT BANK) 951,840.81 1,029,502.50 92.46%
CORDILLERA SAVINGS BANK INC 13,015,675.60 14,010,173.80 92.90%
PHIL SAVINGS BANK 4,102,552,057.27 4,397,573,100.68 93.29%
ROBINSONS BANK CORPORATION 635,442,697.25 676,106,852.49 93.99%
BPI FAMILY SAVINGS BANK INC 5,782,951,886.50 6,072,649,872.13 95.23%
BPI DIRECT SAVINGS BANK INC 215,894,170.04 212,147,520.83 101.77%
UNION BANK OF THE PHILS 8,941,934,059.34 8,484,078,177.00 105.40%
OPTIMUM DEVELOPMENT BANK INC 42,386,660.52 40,145,568.50 105.58%
PACIFIC ACE SAVINGS BANK INC 3,751,004.85 3,519,880.87 106.57%
ASIA UNITED BANK CORPORATION 1,445,957,517.54 1,348,045,781.88 107.26%
BANK OF COMMERCE 2,125,244,690.23 1,883,473,725.81 112.84%
PHILIPPINE RESOURCES SAVINGS BANKING CORPORATION (PR SAVINGS 791,707,545.03 700,932,401.36 112.95%
HONGKONG & SHANGHAI BANKING CORP 1,157,828,240.60 1,006,960,615.03 114.98%
BATAAN SAVINGS AND LOAN BANK 1,595,044.62 1,382,910.95 115.34%
PHIL NATIONAL BANK 11,274,982,388.94 8,979,418,689.07 125.56%
CTBC BANK (PHILIPPINES) CORP 471,656,967.67 355,322,184.41 132.74%
CHINA BANKING CORP 6,733,946,305.72 4,998,611,550.82 134.72%
BANK OF THE PHIL ISLANDS 13,024,961,598.42 8,088,920,117.06 161.02%
RIZAL COMM'L BANKING CORP 3,558,034,678.49 2,200,004,235.43 161.73%
MERCHANTS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSN INC 18,398,505.29 11,314,946.95 162.60%
BANK OF CHINA LIMITED-MANILA BRANCH 314,512,349.92 189,040,895.91 166.37%
CARD SME BANK INC A THRIFT BANK 56,894,463.93 33,820,537.59 168.22%
HSBC SAVINGS BANK(PHILS) INC 106,642,109.67 63,178,946.54 168.79%
LAND BANK OF THE PHILIPPINES 11,102,181,222.34 6,394,449,785.12 173.62%
BDO UNIBANK INC 24,352,965,239.49 13,695,744,420.58 177.81%
UNIVERSITY SAVINGS BANK INC 41,976,227.15 22,519,095.59 186.40%
PHIL TRUST COMPANY 2,220,822,408.94 1,070,276,002.16 207.50%
HIYAS BANKING CORPORATION 28,641,063.26 13,440,327.29 213.10%
SECURITY BANK CORP 3,249,611,460.81 1,331,116,734.82 244.13%
KOREA EXCHANGE BANK 59,721,674.36 23,550,189.24 253.59%
WORLD PARTNERS BANK (A THRIFT BANK) 74,239,747.31 22,519,095.59 329.67%
METROPOLITAN BANK & TCO 10,383,035,507.43 2,532,688,458.77 409.96%
TONGYANG SAVINGS BANK INC 116,005,522.51 22,519,095.59 515.14%
WEALTH DEVELOPMENT BANK CORPORATION 138,203,824.43 22,519,095.59 613.72%
BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC CO LTD 305,490,250.00 48,610,175.73 628.45%
CITIBANK, N.A. 5,612,001,467.50 837,044,060.26 670.45%
ANZ BANKING GROUP LTD 203,831,230.38 23,339,114.85 873.35%
UCPB SAVINGS BANK 541,268,197.21 22,519,095.59 2403.60%
STERLING BANK OF ASIA INC (A SAVINGS BANK) 570,903,937.59 22,519,095.59 2535.20%
JP MORGAN CHASE BANK NATIONAL ASSN. 20,000,000.00 734,885.22 2721.51%
ING BANK N.V. 57,950,204.78 96.12 60289434.85%
BANK OF AMERICA N.A. 27,700,000.00 4.00 692500000.00%
BDO PRIVATE BANK, INC. 181,050,261.34 0.00 NA
CATHAY UNITED BANK CO LTD - MANILA BRANCH 0.00 0.00 NA
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 342,101,385.01 0.00 NA
INDUSTRIAL BANK OF KOREA MANILA BRANCH 1,225,020.00 0.00 NA
ISLA BANK(A THRIFT BANK) INC 4,290,580.33 0.00 NA
MEGA INT'L COMM'L BANK CO LTD 225,184,675.94 0.00 NA
MIZUHO BANK LTD - MANILA BRANCH 329,990,103.14 0.00 NA
SHINHAN BANK - MANILA BRANCH 1,623,570.00 0.00 NA
SUMITOMO MITSUI BANKING CORPORATION-MANILA BRANCH 521,103.52 0.00 NA
THE BNK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI UFJ LTD 388,210,030.46 0.00 NA
Grand Total 152,026,406,933.27 120,550,926,462.40 126.11%


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